There will be 2 rounds of storms on Thursday. Lets talk about #1 first. This line of activity should enter our area around or shortly after 5 a.m. Right now it looks like the storms will be in a weakening phase once they push east of I-55. Until the line of storms completely falls apart there will be damaging wind and hail threat, especially west of the Natchez Trace.
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| Severe Threat Through Wednesday Night |
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| HRRR Model at 1 a.m. Thursday |
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RPM Model at 1 a.m. Thursday
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| RPM Model at 5 a.m. Thursday |
A lull in activity is likely from mid to late morning into the early afternoon. This will help to destabilize the atmosphere here in northeast Mississippi and west Alabama. This is also where things get tricky. Some models like the RPM suggest a storm complex down along the coast will limit storm development here:
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| RPM Model at 4:30 p.m. Thursday |
However, some models suggest storms to the south won't have much impact here in north Mississippi:
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| NAM Model at 7 p.m. Thursday |
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| GFS Model at 7 p.m. Thursday |
Right now the safe bet is to assume storms WILL occur somewhere in northeast Mississippi and northwest Alabama.
The atmosphere will be conducive to super cells that could produce large hail, tornadoes, and damaging wind gusts. Because of that the Storm Prediction Center has placed a good chunk of north Mississippi in a moderate risk for severe weather.
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| Severe Threat Thursday |
Severe storms probably won't affect all areas on Thursday but we must all stay prepared. It only takes 1 storm to cause serious problems. Be sure you have multiple ways of getting warning information and be sure your severe weather action plan is ready.
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